Texty.org.ua has built an ENTIRELY SUBJECTIVE model for assessing the situation in Russia. We took indicators from different areas of life — from the state of the economy to events at the front and the mood inside the country — and assigned each one a weight. The budget deficit, for example, weighs more than public discontent. We combined the indicators we chose into a single curve, to see where Russia is heading overall: whether it still has a margin of safety, or is moving toward exhaustion and therefore toward being unable to continue the war, or even toward disintegration.