Click on the bars with the names of the parties to add or remove their corresponding charts.
We aggregated all reliable polls and plotted the overall party ratings on an interactive chart. The party ratings, shown as a percentage, are based on . All points are interactive and, when hovered over, show the name of the poll.
Last updated: July 18, 2019
Click on the bars with the names of the parties to add or remove their corresponding charts.
Click on the bars with the names of the parties to add or remove their corresponding charts.
The timeline reads from bottom to top. In other words, the latest results are shown at the top. Each line on the chart represents the change in median level of support for a specific political party. We calculated it using a Bayesian probability model.
Take into account that the level of support for a political party in the form of single number is an oversimplification. There is a wide range for level of support, so besides the median, you should look at the entire range or values for a specific date.
Pay attention to the band of color around each line ― this is the range of values for the level of support for a specific party. With high probability (0.95 or 95%), the true level of support lies within this range.
Please remember: this is NOT an election forecast! This is just an illustration of the aggregated levels of support for the political parties based on data from different polls.
The polls used in our model are here.